Re: Freight car distribution
Stokes John
This is the other factor in this essentially impossible and largely meaningless exercise in trying to figure out how many cars of each type would typically be seen on a train in the time period selected and then extrapolate that information to one's model railroad. Who has 1000 + cars? Who has the full mix of car types within box car classes alone and who has a layout on which to run full length freight trains? Not very many of us at all. So the averages, which are a rule of thumb perhaps but otherwise are just a mental exercise, don't really apply to any actual person's layout. Far too many, many variables in a national system, with the almost infinite perambulations of individual railroads, prototype and model, for these figures to have real meaning to a modeler. Again, the best and perhaps only lesson is to try to avoid the "iconic" cars when they were actually few in number, and balance your cars, with a good dose of home road cars, depending on what the history of your prototype was at any given time, when they had or didn't have a large fleet or kept it close to home, as in grain shipment time or on dedicated mineral runs.
Reality is not the same as a computer simulation under the rather limited and primitive conditions we are working in here. It doesn't take a long time looking at photos, for example, of Northern Pacific or Great Northern freight trains and yards to see that at least on the days the pictures were taken, home road equipment often dominated, but the stats say otherwise. Go figure. Glad you are having fun with all this, Mike. John Stokes Bellevue, WA To: STMFC@...: brockm@...: Sun, 17 Aug 2008 20:18:51 -0400Subject: Re: [STMFC] Re: Freight car distribution Tim O'Connor writes:"Good work, Larry! That's what I'm talkin' 'bout!A 40 car train with 9 SP (not counting T&NO) boxcars.."I assume you mean a train with 40 box cars. Actually the 1949 trains averaged 82.3 cars."More than 5 times the 'average' value of1.6."I'm not certain what the 1.6 represents. The actual number is 4.Mike Brock...I never thought statistics could be fun.
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Re: Freight car distribution
Mike Brock wrote
Larry, could you explain what you are talking about? You show RR [ i.e., SPMike, he ran 100,000 iterations of a 40 car box car train, composed of cars chosen randomly from every possible prototype. The National % is obvious, and then he finds the AVERAGE % found for that railroad in the random consists. What is not obvious about this? I tallied the maximum number of cars for each railroad over all theBecause he described it obscurely. He simply kept track of the largest number of cars seen for each reporting mark in the 100,000 trains. Is this not also obvious? Well...actually that's not so at all. The correct number is 4. 136/34Real what? 136 box cars? 136 trains? 136 days? 136 train consists? Larry's example was PURELY theoretical, and he made an excellent point. I guess some people just don't get it. We know that there were 4 of 34 trains...11.76%...of the trains withMike, you are having trouble grasping the idea. Larry has presented 100,00 theoretical trains, of fixed length, of random composition. You persist with your miniscule sample of 34 actual trains of varying length and composition of different sorts of cars (not just box cars). The 1953 data shows the "infamous" train with 36 or more SP box carsYes, but I will argue that the Overland Route for the UP and SP was a 'home road extension' in that each road was highly dependent on the other for traffic. Therefore we can discount the presence of SP as well as UP cars in all trains over Sherman Hill, for the purposes of this discussion. This is exactly the "skew" that each layout has to consider. Tim O'Connor
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Re: Freight car distribution
Mike Brock <brockm@...>
Tim O'Connor writes:
"Good work, Larry! That's what I'm talkin' 'bout! A 40 car train with 9 SP (not counting T&NO) box cars.." I assume you mean a train with 40 box cars. Actually the 1949 trains averaged 82.3 cars. "More than 5 times the 'average' value of 1.6." I'm not certain what the 1.6 represents. The actual number is 4. Mike Brock...I never thought statistics could be fun.
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Re: A Purpose For Frt Car Distribution Studies. Was: Re: Re
Mike Brock <brockm@...>
Steve Lucas writes:
"Tony-- After reading this thread for some time, I have to agree with your basic premise. Most major through transcon routes such as the UP in Wyoming would very likely have over a given period, percentages of each road's boxcars in keeping with the national averages. The law of averages supports this." Well...perhaps someone's law of averages supports it but the data does not. Can you explain that? Mike Brock
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Re: Freight car distribution
Mike Brock <brockm@...>
Larry Ostresh writes:
"I ran my "random train" Excel program for 100,000 iterations to test whether it was working OK. The average number of boxcars per train, by railroad, seemed to properly mirror the national fleet as represented by Tim Gilbert's data for 1949:" Larry, could you explain what you are talking about? You show RR [ i.e., SP excluding T&NO ], number [ number of SP box cars { 27757 } ] Nat'l % [ you show 4.0% but Tim shoed 3.9% ] and Random % [ 4.01% ]. What is the derivation of the random %? RR___Number___Nat'l %___Random % SP-Pac___27,757___4.00%___4.01% "(The "Number" and "Nat'l %" columns above are from Tim's 1949 list of boxcars." Yep. "His data are at "4060totalboxcarsUSownership.xls" in the files section of this list." Yep. "The "Random %" column is the average percentage of cars per train generated by my Excel program after 100,000 iterations. Each train consisted of 40 boxcars.)" Hmmm. Well, 40 box cars is OK...actually 39. "While running the program, I tallied the maximum number of cars for each railroad over all the iterations. In a 40 boxcar train, the average number of cars would be 40 times the national percentage shown in the above table." Why do you say that? "For example, the average number of SP-Pac cars would 40 * 4% = 1.6 cars - 1 or 2 cars per train." Well...actually that's not so at all. The correct number is 4. 136/34= If you use real...rather than theoretical data. IOW, the 4% [ actually 3.9% ] fails to produce the actual number of cars...136. "Any particular 40 boxcar train may have more or less SP-Pac cars (0 to 40)." "After 100,000 trials, there were in fact trains with no SP-Pac boxcars, but no train had more than 9 of them." We know that there were 4 of 34 trains...11.76%...of the trains with far more than 9 SP bx cars. The 1953 data shows the "infamous" train with 36 or more SP bx cars [ not T&NO ]. Mike Brock
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Re: A Purpose For Frt Car Distribution Studies. Was: Re: Re:Fwd: Re: Freigh
On Fri, August 15, 2008 5:45 pm, devansprr wrote:
But I do not have good info on details such as tank car manufacturertype (e.g. 11, 21, 27, etc). If that exists let me know and I'll search for it - there is a wealth of data in this site - it could use a full word index system for quicker and more accurate searches. Tank cars - (Information from Tim Gilbert summarizing the January 1943 ORER) Union Tank Car Co. 38,707 General American Transportation Co. 27,867 Pennsylvania-Conley Tank - div. of GATX 10,327 Shippers Car Line 6,949 Sinclair Refining Co. 6,447 AT&SF 3,567 US War Department 2,475 SP - Pacific Lines 2,219 Gulf Oil Co. 1,551 UP 1,096 Dupont 1,068 Sun Oil Co. 1,035 However, given that the ORER does not allow us to decipher types, and tank car companies were notorious for mixing cars from multiple makers into series, the best I think we can do is try to convey the impression of the WWII fleet. Some rules of thumb - -UTLX had the biggest fleet so the X-3 would likely be the most common tank (Lots of Sunshine kits!) and IIRC, the 8K size was NOT the most common (10K?) -AC&F production of type 21 cars outnumbered type 27 by a significant margin, and the 8K size was the most common of the type 21s. -GATC built tanks were fairly common and we have no reasonable model in HO for a fleet. -"Oddballs" such as the UTLX "van Dyke", and earlier type 7 and 11 tanks should not appear in great numbers, but were certainly in use. So, for now, a fleet of Sunshine and Walthers/P2K tanks with a few Intermountain, Precision Scale, Speedwitch (NATX tanks), IM/Tichy bashed USG-A, Southern Car and Foundry (STC cars) and whatever else I've forgotten (like the RC brass GATC cars and other brass cars) will make a reasonable fleet with the exception of missing GATC cars. Like boxcars, this approach will give you the varying sizes and features seen in WWII era "pipelines on rails" See my other post, but I thought most WWII era refineries were north ofthe gulf - the off-shore oil had not been developed yet. During WWII, the tank cars and pipelines carried crude oil and not refined products to the refineries in the NE. Those fields, as others have noted were onshore fields in Louisianna and Texas. Regards Bruce Bruce Smith Auburn, AL
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Re: Union Pacific Stock car class
Thank you Tony.
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What car class was that equivalent to on the SP? Sincerely, Rich Yoder 7 Edgedale Court Wyomissing PA 19610-1913 610-678-2834 after 6:00PM est until 10:00PM www.richyodermodels.com
-----Original Message-----
From: STMFC@... [mailto:STMFC@...] On Behalf Of Anthony Thompson Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 6:16 PM To: STMFC@... Subject: [STMFC] Re: Union Pacific Stock car class Rich Yoder wrote: Yes I mean UP #46759.Class S-40-6. Tony Thompson Editor, Signature Press, Berkeley, CA 2906 Forest Ave., Berkeley, CA 94705 www.signaturepress.com (510) 540-6538; fax, (510) 540-1937; e-mail, thompson@... Publishers of books on railroad history ------------------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Links
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Re: DTI trucks
Brian J Carlson <brian@...>
Thanks. I must be thinking of the 70 ton trucks.
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Brian J Carlson P.E. Cheektowaga NY
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From: "Brian Leppert" <b.leppert@...> To: <STMFC@...> Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 6:32 PM Subject: [STMFC] Re: DTI trucks Brian,
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Re: DTI trucks
Brian Leppert <b.leppert@...>
Brian,
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If you're thinking of Pennsy's 2D-F12 truck, then no. It's different. It has the distinct V-9306 sideframe with room for only one leaf and two coil springs, whereas the trucks on my list of users are all double- truss sideframes with two coil springs to each side of the single leaf spring. Pennsy did have double-truss 70-ton versions with a pair of leaf springs surrounded by four coil springs. Brian Leppert Tahoe Model Works
-- In STMFC@..., "Brian J Carlson" <brian@...> wrote:
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Re: Union Pacific Stock car class
Anthony Thompson <thompson@...>
Rich Yoder wrote:
Yes I mean UP #46759.Class S-40-6. Tony Thompson Editor, Signature Press, Berkeley, CA 2906 Forest Ave., Berkeley, CA 94705 www.signaturepress.com (510) 540-6538; fax, (510) 540-1937; e-mail, thompson@... Publishers of books on railroad history
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Re: Union Pacific Stock car class
Yes I mean UP #46759.
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What class was that car? Sincerely, Rich Yoder 7 Edgedale Court Wyomissing PA 19610-1913 610-678-2834 after 6:00PM est until 10:00PM www.richyodermodels.com
-----Original Message-----
From: STMFC@... [mailto:STMFC@...] On Behalf Of dmueller183@... Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 5:43 PM To: STMFC@... Subject: [STMFC] Re: Union Pacific Stock car class You mean 46759? There is no 46795 in the 1940, 1950, or 1953 ORER's. ...and ditto for july 1959 dave </HTML> ------------------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Links
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Re: DTI trucks
Brian J Carlson <brian@...>
Add PRR to the list.
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Brian J Carlson P.E. Cheektowaga NY
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Re: Freight car distribution
armprem
Unfortunately there are not enough different models available to even
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begin to come close to "National Averages".Armand Premo
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From: "Tim O'Connor" <timboconnor@...> To: <STMFC@...> Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 4:54 PM Subject: [STMFC] Re: Freight car distribution Good work, Larry! That's what I'm talkin' 'bout! A 40 car train with 9 SP (not counting T&NO) box cars.. More than 5 times the 'average' value of 1.6. And the peak CMO value at 20 times its average of 0.2! And yet, the OVERALL averages are exactly what we expect, representing the fact that each car has an equal chance. Model railroad operations would be much improved if someone could devise an easy way to do this using paper car cards and waybills. (Since most people seem to hate using computer switchlists.) Tim O'Connor At 8/17/2008 02:54 PM Sunday, you wrote: Hi Folks ------------------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Links -- Internal Virus Database is out-of-date. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.516 / Virus Database: 269.15.10/1091 - Release Date: 10/24/07 2:31 PM
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Re: DTI trucks
Brian Leppert <b.leppert@...>
Tim,
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Here's some railroads I know of that used the double truss coil- elliptic sprung 40 and 50 ton trucks, with or without spring planks: C&O, CGW, WM, BAR and Erie used them on some or all of their 1932 ARA box cars. N&W, DT&I and Virginian had them on all of their round roof box cars. DT&I, Erie, CGW, WM and L&NE all had various other cars equipped with this truck. Brian Leppert Tahoe Model Works Carson City, NV
--- In STMFC@..., Tim O'Connor <timboconnor@...> wrote:
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Re: Union Pacific Stock car class
You mean 46759? There is no 46795 in the 1940, 1950, or
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1953 ORER's.
At 8/17/2008 04:28 PM Sunday, you wrote:
What class of cars does
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Re: A Purpose For Frt Car Distribution Studies
Steve, I don't see any 'danger' at all, as long as you
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-ASSIGN- cars to run on the layout in the proportions to the national fleet. In other words, suppose you have 103 box cars and Railroad XYZ only represents 1 as a national percentage, but you own 4 XYZ box cars. No problem -- in your computation (like Larry's EXCEL spreadsheet) you only allow each XYZ car to represent 0.25 (1/4) of one car. This gives you the ability to model more of the fleets of your favorite railroads, but has no effect on the proportions of those cars that show up during operations. As for the percentage of 40' vs 50', I don't see any issue. If you need a higher percentage of 40' cars then build your fleet that way. The numbers of cars for a typical layout are too small to give a true proportional representation of the entire country. You'd need about 1,000+ box cars to do that. Tim O'Connor
The danger lies in having a model car fleet that models many
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Re: Freight car distribution
Good work, Larry! That's what I'm talkin' 'bout!
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A 40 car train with 9 SP (not counting T&NO) box cars.. More than 5 times the 'average' value of 1.6. And the peak CMO value at 20 times its average of 0.2! And yet, the OVERALL averages are exactly what we expect, representing the fact that each car has an equal chance. Model railroad operations would be much improved if someone could devise an easy way to do this using paper car cards and waybills. (Since most people seem to hate using computer switchlists.) Tim O'Connor
At 8/17/2008 02:54 PM Sunday, you wrote:
Hi Folks
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Re: Battleship Gons trucks
Westerfield <westerfield@...>
Al - C&O battleships can reasonably be modelled from Buckeyes. N&W early battleships used Pilchers which are available from Bethlehem Car Works. The Lewis trucks are unlike anything on the market but are simple enough to scratch build. - Al Westerfield
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From: water.kresse@... To: STMFC@... Sent: Sunday, August 17, 2008 2:00 PM Subject: Re: [STMFC] Battleship Gons trucks Folks, In reseaching the C&O, N&W and Virginian high capacity gons, of the late-teens and early-twenties, one see a great number of experimental 6-wheel trucks being "tried" : ASF Lewis, ASF Equalizing Arm, ASF Lemont, Buckeye, etc. Do we have any of these covered in HO scale for the modeler to "kit bash" a body on. The C&O's 1941-1942 WW2 125-ton flat car trucks might be close enough for a potion of the early VGN 120-ton cars and their upgraded 105-ton Virginian cars. Al Kresse
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Re: DTI trucks
Brian sent me a great photo of a 3rd sideframe with these
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springs -- This one is a Buckeye casting (circle-B foundry mark)... very interesting. Anyone know who besides DT&I had trucks like this? Tim O'
Tim: I attached a photo of the truck and car. I don't know what DTI series
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Union Pacific Stock car class
What class of cars does
UP #46795 Stock car belong to? Rich Yoder PA
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